The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season is shaping up to be one of the most intense on record, posing significant risks to the oil and gas industry. Infrastructure damage, supply chain disruptions, and economic challenges are among the critical threats, especially for offshore and remote operations. The Gulf Coast, a region that accounts for 45% of U.S. oil refining capacity, over half of natural gas processing, and 20% of crude oil production, is particularly vulnerable. According to Colorado State University’s Tropical Weather and Climate Research Center, this coastline is the most likely in the U.S. to be struck by a severe hurricane (Category 3–5).

To mitigate these risks, oil and gas companies must proactively strengthen their operations and engage key suppliers to ensure resilience against potential disruptions.

Strategic Tools for Effective Procurement

To enhance preparedness, procurement teams are leveraging advanced analytical frameworks:

Pareto Analysis: Identifying major spending categories but focusing on supplier-specific allocations.

Kraljic Supplier Segmentation: Assessing supplier optionality and identifying "bottleneck spend" to secure allocation splits for critical items.

Additionally, conducting a geographical audit of supplier facilities is vital. This process involves analyzing physical production and distribution sites rather than focusing solely on suppliers’ corporate headquarters. Internal shipping data and third-party insights help identify vulnerabilities and ensure suppliers have robust incident response plans for extreme weather.

The Role of AI and Predictive Procurement

Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) technologies play a pivotal role in building resilient supply chains. Predictive procurement platforms strengthen operations in three critical ways:

Alternative sourcing: Identifying new suppliers within an existing network to mitigate disruptions.

Predictive pricing: Facilitating rapid negotiation and approval processes during volatile market conditions.

Comprehensive supplier selection: Utilizing AI to evaluate lead times, minimum order quantities, and other variables for optimized decision-making.

By cleansing and integrating supplier data efficiently, these technologies enable procurement teams to act swiftly during crises. For instance, after extreme weather incapacitated a plant, one team used predictive procurement to source spare parts from alternative suppliers within their existing network, ensuring continuity with minimal downtime.

Hurricane season brings uncertainties that demand preparedness, adaptability, and resilience. By integrating predictive technologies, conducting detailed supplier audits, and fostering strategic relationships, oil and gas companies can weather the storm.

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